Prospects for Republican gains in the 50-50 Senate are not so good. [80] Vance said, "We really need people who are solving the big problems. In explaining why Democrats' chances have improved of late, both FiveThirtyEight and The Economist note the disparity in candidate quality between the Democrats and Republicans as playing a significant role in the broader fight for the majority.[98]. The 2020 and 2016 presidential elections in Arizona were similarly close. Click below to learn more about: Click here for primary election competitiveness statistics, including the number of open seats and contested incumbents in 2022. The top 10 Senate seats most likely to flip are based on CNN's reporting and fundraising data, as well as historical data about how states and candidates have performed. [54][55], Cortez Masto focused on her support for abortion rights and criticized Laxalt for past comments he made about the 1973 Roe v. Wade Supreme Court decision. Candidate lists may be incomplete until each state's filing deadline has passed. In 2020-2021, special elections took place in Georgia and Arizona. All candidates, regardless of party affiliation, ran in a single primary. Voters were primed for change but chose the status quo instead. There was no more eye-popping spread than in New Hampshire, though. Laxalt is the grandson of former Nevada governor and U.S. Thats why there was such a strong result here for One Nation in 2019, when we received more than 21% of the primary vote. Kelly and his wife, former U.S. Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D), founded Americans for Responsible Solutions (known at the time of the 2022 election as Giffords) in 2013. Republicans were handed a tremendous opportunity in 2022. In 2016, Murkowski was re-elected after defeating second-place finisher Joe Miller (L) 44.4% to 29.2%. This was the first time since 1914 that no Senate incumbent who ran lost re-election.[6]. The Maryland Court of Appeals extended the candidate filing deadline from February 22, 2022, to March 22, 2022. Contact Ballotpedia at editor@ballotpedia.org for access to earlier data. One Nation puts Australia and Australians first.. Senator. The Hill's Caroline Vakil said, "Floridas Senate race is considered one of the most competitive this November. The three top candidates to succeed Sen. Richard Burr in North Carolina have all denounced his vote to convict Trump in his last impeachment trial. Senators elected at this election are scheduled to take office on 1 July 2022, with the exception of the Senators elected from two territories whose terms commence from election day. It's worth noting that these forecasts are built on probable outcomes and their predictive power depends on how good the underlying data are. Heading into Election Day, the U.S. Senate was evenly divided at 50-50 with Vice President Kamala Harris (D) casting tie-breaking votes, giving Democrats an effective majority. Murkowski said, "This race is about who can deliver best for Alaska. Hell need to come close to those numbers again, though its still a question of GOP turnout given Walkers severe underperformance versus Kemp. So five Republican seats are at risk. The following table shows the 2020 presidential election margin of victory in percentage points for each state with a Senate election in 2022. On this page, you will find information on the following: Click here for our Election Day coverage of the November 8, 2022, U.S. Senate election results. -moz-columns: 1; Burr and Toomey did not seek re-election. "One Nation represents a genuine alternative to the major parties for Australians who are tired of politics as usual. The following chart includes the congressional approval rating over time, in addition to the presidential approval rating and direction of country rating. Incumbent Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R) defeated Kelly Tshibaka (R), and Patricia Chesbro (D) in the general election for U.S. Senate in Alaska on November 8, 2022. However, Republicans are also defending seats in Ohio and Wisconsin, in which their predicted victory margin is just over 10 points, indicating that these seats could potentially be in play. [74], J.D. In fact, the House and Senate have moved in opposite directions three times over the past 75 years, most recently in 2018. US Political and Election news from around the nation - by Ron Gunzburger, publisher of the award-winning Politics1.com site. Murkowski also had the endorsements of several Democratic elected officials, including Alaska's At-Large U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola (D), Sen. Joe Manchin (D) and Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D).Cite error: Closing missing for tagCite error: Closing missing for tag[26][27]. Democrats gained the seat in Pennsylvania after Fetterman defeated Oz, while Republicans held the seat in Wisconsin after incumbent Sen. Ron Johnson (R) defeated Mandela Barnes (D). .split-cols-c-list { The general election was on November 8, 2022. Independent Senators Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Angus King (I-Maine) caucus with the Democratic Party. Retrieved 16 April 2022. Incumbent Marco Rubio (R) defeated Val Demings (D) and seven other candidates in the general election for U.S. Senate in Florida on November 8, 2022. With the results in Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania all within the margin of one MAGA penalty, its entirely plausible that Mr. Trumps candidates cost the Republicans control of the Senate.[98]. Incumbent Maggie Hassan (D) defeated Don Bolduc (R) and Jeremy Kauffman (L) in the general election for U.S. Senate in New Hampshire on November 8, 2022. After almost losing Hunter in 2019, Joel Fitzgibbon tried to convince his Labor colleagues to look after the coal industry, but failed to shift their obsession with climate change. Overall, his preferred primary candidates underperformed other G.O.P. Manny Yekutiel fills out his ballot while voting at City Hall in San Francisco, Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. -moz-columns: 1; The 2022 Australian federal election in the Senate was held on 21 May 2022 to elect 40 of the 76 senators in the Australian Senate, after a six-week campaign. "But alsoon a range of things including thepush for a net zero, which I thinkwill be net zero jobs.". The Associated Presss midterm survey also found that independents broke in favor of Democrats by nearly 20 points. Senator Hanson on Wednesday committedto fielding candidates in all 151 House of Representatives contests. Take the 2018 midterms: Democrats had to defend 24 of the 35 seats up in 2018 (26 if you count two independents who caucused with the party), and 10 of those were in states that Trump carried in the 2016 election. Its time to turn this ship around. "In Senate races you have the resources to make it a real choice; it doesn't have to be a derivative choice of an affirmation of the president or not. One Nation to Contest Every Seat in House of Reps Australians everywhere will have the opportunity to support Pauline Hanson's One Nation at the 2022 Federal election, with the party fielding candidates in all 151 electorates. There are 99 chambers throughout the country. In 2016, Burr defeated Deborah Ross (D), 51% to 45%. Lisa Murkowski, Alaska Its taken almost 12 months to bed down the team were taking to voters at this election. Ballotpedia tracked all noteworthy endorsements related to this race. One Nation gets more money if Christensen boosts her vote. The Economist's model is even more optimistic for the party, finding that in 78 out of 100 simulations, Democrats retain their majority in November. The U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Alabama postponed the filing deadline for primary congressional candidates from January 28, 2022, to February 11, 2022. "They arelooking for change, they are looking for representation, looking forpeople who will represent them onthe floor of parliament with integrityand honesty.". In short, be wary of taking these models as fact. She announced she would not caucus with Republicans. Click here for our Election Day coverage of the November 8, 2022, U.S. Senate election results, List of U.S. Congress incumbents who are not running for re-election in 2022, United States Senate election in Alaska, 2022, Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, United States Senate election in Arizona, 2022, United States Senate election in Florida, 2022, United States Senate election in Georgia, 2022, United States Senate election in Missouri, 2022, United States Senate election in Nevada, 2022, United States Senate election in New Hampshire, 2022, United States Senate election in North Carolina, 2022, North Carolina's 13th Congressional District, United States Senate election in Ohio, 2022, United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2022, United States Senate election in Wisconsin, 2022, Special elections to the 116th United States Congress (2019-2020), States won by Donald Trump in 2020 with Democratic-held U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2022, States won by Joe Biden in 2020 with Republican-held U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2022, State party censures and Republican primary challenges in response to Trump impeachment, 2021, Click here to view pre-election analysis and commentary, Democratic U.S. Senate primary battlegrounds in 2022, Republican U.S. Senate primary battlegrounds in 2022, Special elections to the 117th United States Congress (2021-2022), South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District, North Carolina's 12th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District, Montana's At-Large Congressional District, South Carolina's 5th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 18th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 15th Congressional District, Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District, North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, North Carolina's 9th Congressional District, Ballotpedia's Polling Index: Congressional approval rating, United States House of Representatives elections, 2022, Election results, 2022: Comparison of state delegations to the 117th and 118th Congresses, Number of Democratic and Republican candidates on the ballot for federal and state offices, 2022, 270toWin: 2022 Senate Election Interactive Map, Herschel Walker campaign website, Home, August 11, 2022, Biographical Directory of the United States Congress "CORTEZ MASTO, Catherine Marie," accessed August 4, 2022, https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/senate/senate-charts/senate-governors-charts-chew-how-independents-and-meh-voters-split, Ballot access for major and minor party candidates, Congressional incumbents not running for re-election, Cooperative of American Physicians IE Committee, Ken Carbullido, Vice President of Election Product and Technology Strategy, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=United_States_Senate_elections,_2022&oldid=9063552, Pages using DynamicPageList dplreplace parser function, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections, 3 (2 Democratic gains; 1 Republican gain), 3 (2 Republican gains; 1 Democratic gain), 21 (11 Democratic gains; 10 Republican gains), 9 (6 Republican gains; 3 Democratic gains), 6/28/2022; 8/23/2022 (congressional and state senate only), 4/7/2022; 6/10/2022 (congressional and state senate only), 7/5/2022 (if no federal office is involved); 7/26/2022 (if a federal office is involved), 5/3/2022 (Congress and statewide offices), 2/2/2022 (U.S. House candidates: 3/4/2022), 3/15/2022 (Congress and statewide offices only). In 2020, Kelly defeated incumbent Sen. Martha McSally (R) in a special election 51.2% to 48.8%. That could make these retirements less of a blow to Republicans than they first appear. [28] To view a full list of these endorsements, click here. "[84] To read more about Oz's key messages, click here. The seats were up for election in 2022. Rhiannon Bosma was earlier. Gov. That geography could provide a critical boost for beleaguered Democrats in an era when both parties are finding it more difficult to win Senate races in states that usually vote the other way for president. Democrats see it as a possible pickup, with GOP Senator Pat Toomey retiring. The North Carolina State Board of Elections announced that candidate filing, having been suspended by the state supreme court in December 2021, would resume on February 24, 2022, and conclude on March 4, 2022. [71][72] Beasley said she was running to "fight to lower costs, create good-paying jobs and expand access to affordable, quality health care in every part of North Carolina."[73]. In 2016, Cortez Masto defeated then-incumbent Joe Heck (R) by 2.4 percentage points. Hes a self-made businessman whos been employing locals for 25 years, and he knows what underpins the local economy. One Nation leader Pauline Hanson confirmed on Wednesday morning Mr Christensen would be the party's third Senate candidate. The environment forms a large part of their centrist platform in 2022, by committing to reducing rubbish and . Or, failing that, whether in these states that rejected Trump in 2020 (and in some cases 2016 as well), Democratic Senate candidates can survive even lackluster numbers for Biden by reminding voters what they don't like about the GOP alternatives. She rejected suggestions Mr Christensen's attempt to enter the Upper House would be fruitless, and said she would not be asking the party's second Senate candidate to make way for the former Coalition MP. The narrowest margin in any U.S. Senate election in 2022 was 0.50 percentage points in the U.S. Senate election in Nevada between Catherine Cortez Masto (D) and Adam Laxalt (R). Whatever else is going on, midterm elections most notably operate as referenda on the president of the United States. Democrats gained a net of one seat in the 2022 general elections, maintaining control of the chamber. That dynamic has grown so powerful that each party now holds just three of the 50 Senate seats in the 25 states that voted against their presidential candidates in the 2020 election. Ultimately, we see these Senate races track closely with the presidential results in the state. While the five points Fetterman ran ahead by was sufficient to lift him to a victory and to flip a seat, the 3.5 points that Barnes ran ahead of Biden the lowest of any candidate in a competitive race wasnt enough.[98]. Four of the 34 seats up for election in 2022 changed party control the last time they were up for election. [18][19], Murkowski highlighted her seniority and said her willingness to work with Democrats helped steer federal funding to Alaska. Former federal Liberal National Party (LNP) MP George Christensen will run as a Senate candidate for One Nation in the upcoming federal election, marking his return to politics. "I think Biden's numbers will very much drive the 2022 elections," says Republican consultant John Brabender. Doctors fix big things. [90][91] Barnes said he would "fight to create opportunity in every corner of Wisconsin, bring manufacturing back, create jobs by tackling climate change, and stand up for Wisconsins family farmers. By contrast, the GOP will likely have more opportunities for pickups, as they can expect to challenge Democratic-held Senate seats in battleground states, such as Arizona, Georgia and Nevada, each of which Biden won by fewer than 3 points.[98]. That, too, would reduce the odds of 2022 Republican tsunami.[98]. As of March 2023, there has been one special election for U.S. Senate scheduled for the 117th Congress. At the time of the 2022 election, the last time a Democratic candidate won a statewide election in Missouri was in 2012, when U.S. Sen. Claire McCaskill and Gov. Grant, Tuan Nguyen, Uloma Ekpete, Edward A. During a speech to Parliament last year, Mr Christensen likened COVID-19 restrictions to the despotic regimes of Nazi Germany and the Khmer Rouge in Cambodia. } California 2022 elections. Hassan said she worked with Republicans to end surprise medical billing and expand broadband access. 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