Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. Sven Beyer. She turned in one of the best Beyer Speed Figures of any 2-year-old in 2021, and her 92 Beyer in the Honeybee Stakes last month was considerably better than Un Ojo's 84 in winning the Rebel . Un Ojo notched only an 84 Beyer Speed Figure for his upset win in the Rebel (G2). While Beyer has also noted that "speed figures tell you how fast a horse ran in the past; they do not necessarily predict how it will run today," their use as a handicapping tool is premised on their ability to shed light on how a horse is likely to run in its next start. (Coady Photography), A Closer Look at 2022 Breeders Cup Classic Hopeful Olympiad, Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. At 1 3/16 miles, its the longest Derby prep race, which is why the market looks extremely bullish on Epicenter. Remember Ben with a gift to Thoroughbred aftercare, Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts, Home Archive Shared News With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. Creating these figures is the result of a very complex process that involves mathematical formulas and judgment calls . } 2022 Preakness: Beyer Speed Figures For Every Horse. This year, five colts already have surpassed a 102: Taiba, Mo Donegal, Early Voting, all with 111s to their credit, as well as Messier (108) and Zandon (103). Both represent significant jumps - and another notable improvement, which would be necessary to compete against elite 3-year-olds, is a big ask from a 3-year-old. In short, there is much reason for optimism as it pertains to Olympiad being effective at 1 miles in the Longines Classic Nov. 5 at Keeneland. Bet with your head, not over it. When considering his chances to excel at 1 miles in the classic, Olympiad gets a nice stamina boost from the bottom half of his pedigree. The top-end speed runs deeper in this field, as well. Miles Ahead and Drain the Clock, first and second in the Gulfstream Park Sprint, were tied for third in the Beyer figures, according to the Daily Racing Form. Belmont Stakes 2022 field and odds. Since 1992, 27 of 30 Kentucky Derby winners have entered the race with a career-best Beyer speed figure of at least 95. Handicappers may find it useful to relate the par to the typical figures of horses in a field. Below is a closer look at the career best Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Speed Figures for the North American contenders in the prospective 2022 Kentucky Derby field. Danzing Candy won the San Felipe at the same distance in 1:43.04. The top Beyer Speed Figure earned by a Kentucky Derby Sportsbook since 1987 is 118, shared by Summer Squall (1990), Silver Charm (1997) and Smarty Jones (2004). With a talented, 20-horse field expected to enter the starting gate, you NEED to see what racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say before making any 2022 Kentucky Derby picks of your own. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . Taiba broke his maiden with that impressive number in a six-furlong race on March 5. In a rare circumstance, he would have been favored even if the Kentucky Derby winner, Rich Strike, was running in the Preakness. CLICK HERE TO SUBSCRIBE TO THE TDN FOR FREE! In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. The British Rail Class 35 is a class of mixed-traffic B-B diesel locomotive with hydraulic transmission.Because of their Mekydro-design hydraulic transmission units, the locomotives became known as the Hymeks.They were numbered D7000-D7100. Seven of the 12 earned a BSF in the Kentucky Derby of 103 or higher. Another very fast horse who was handled that way was Ghostzapper (Awesome Again). The system behind the figures was explained in detail and popularized by Andrew Beyers book, Picking Winners, published in 1975. TimeformUS also values the strength of Tim Yakteen's duo. Messier posted his on Feb. 6, 2022 in the Robert B. Lewis (G3), a 1 1/16 mile run which Messier won. The Beyer Speed Figures are an easy indicator to determine which horse will likely become the favorite to win in a race. Brisnet speed ratings are courtesy ofBrisnet. The Malibu was the longest start of his career. His Carter victory earned a career-high Beyer Speed Figure of 114. f: (732) 747-8955. Since making their published debut in 1992, Beyer Speed Figures have become the industry standard for evaluating Thoroughbred performance. The winner of the Kentucky Derby will likely run their best career race, but having a history of 100+ BSF helps predict such a performance. They have come in quite a bit behind their competition, too, with next-lowest belonging to Barber Road. Here are the 19 highest Beyer figures for Saturday's races, with figures from Brisnet and TimeformUS where available. Medaglia dOro and A.P. I believe the number for the Wood was inflated after it was compared to the Gazelle Stakes (G3) at the same distance on the same card. However, seven horses posted a BSF between 90-94 in the 2022 crop versus five in 2021. APPLETON - Change can be difficult, but Appleton East guard Sammi Beyer is taking a positive approach to her senior season. A colt being trounced in Belmont MSW company may find a soft spot upstate at Finger Lakes, where the par for the class is 59.In most cases, pars are not listed for races restricted to 2- or 3-year-olds. Below, well use Beyer Speed Figures to determine the speed of the 2022 Kentucky Derby field. [4] Easy Goer and Sunday Silence both earned 124 speed figures in the 1989 Breeders' Cup Classic, which tied for the fastest speed figure earned in any Breeders' Cup race. 'TDN Rising Star' Flightline (Tapit) is really, really, fast. Nest improved to an 82 Beyer and a 99 Equibase figure in the Suncoast. Below we take a closer look at the Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Figures to determine his biggest threats. We might not have seen the best from Secret Oath and Creative Minister, who have shown they can run competitivefigures while they continue to improve. We the People (2-1) Skippylongstocking (20-1) . Each day's races are compared to their pars, with the variant representing the average deviation, and then added to the raw speed rating to yield the par-time based figure. This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24 (UTC). Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to . You can then presume that he is faster than . Beyer Speed Figures favorEpicenter, and it is not very close. by ericdecoster February 9, 202211 min read. He was nearly in a walk when crossing the wire after completing the seven furlongs in 1:21.37. Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) is a common metric used to handicap horse racing and contextualize how well a horse ran in a given race. 2022 Kentucky Derby Beyer Speed Figure Rankings For Every Horse. He's advising bettors to consider speed figures and track conditions prior to wagering. These numbers reflect the relative strength of different racing circuits. (Note that this speed figure was assigned before the numbers were published in the Daily Racing Form, so may not be included in some listings of the top speed figures. MLB Odds: Will Twins Break Out Of Two-Year Slump? This could have inflated the Beyer Speed Figure earned by a horse in a race. A look at the top Kentucky Derby contenders for the 2022 race heading into the March prep schedule, with Baffert still banned and new leaders in the points rankings. In 1963, Taulbot sent his parallel-time chart to Beyer's Harvard classmate, Sheldon Kovitz, who adjusted it to account for velocity (e.g., a horse who runs six furlongs in 1:09 will run its seventh furlong faster than one who runs 1:13, and so forth). 111. That's not about to change. In Europe, Timeform has a similar rating scale that yields a number, but with a different value. Not a subscriber? Please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and country to country. The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. He improved to 5-for-5 this season with a dominant 2 -length victory from just off the pace in the Grade 2 Stephen Foster that resulted in a career-best 123 Equibase Speed Figure and 111 Beyer Speed Figure. Their six associates involved in making figures include television commentator Randy Moss and long-time Philadelphia sports columnist Dick Jerardi, who have been with the business since its beginning. Trade. While news that Kentucky Derby sensation Rich Strike will skip the Preakness Stakes surely tamping down some of the fervor over the big race, that doesn't mean there's nothing to watch for or bet on this Saturday. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. Several runners had higher TimeformUS figures for Saturday's races, including Cavalry Charge with a 122 in winning the Fair Grounds Stakes (G3). It's an exciting time. 92. Welcome to 2022 Kentucky Derby Prospect Snapshots, where we'll take a look each week at a recent winner on the Triple Crown trail, usually from the Road to the Kentucky Derby schedule from which the . For example, horse "A" has gotten Beyer Speed Figures of 90, 82, and 89 in his last three races. (Only Epicenter, Messier . Questions of general interest will be preferred for publication. Written By Mo Nuwwarah on May 19, 2022 - Last Updated on May 23, 2022. Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. Speightstown took some time as a racehorse to come around, winning champion sprinter honors as a 6-year-old, and many of his best runners have improved significantly with age: Tamarkuz won the Breeders Cup Dirt Mile at 6; Haynesfield won the Jockey Club Gold Cup at 4; and Flagstaff became a Grade 1 winner at age 7. [8] It is noteworthy that Easy Goer's overall speed figures were substantially superior to principal rival Sunday Silence, despite Sunday Silence's slight three to one edge in their head-to-head races. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. He also wanted a rating system that could compare horses at different distances and at all racetracks. Trained by Rudy Rodriguez, the gelding led at every call to cover the six furlongs in 1.11.17. He may just be the type of horse who is so fast than he needs ample time between races. [9][10][11] Easy Goer ran a 122 in winning the 1989 Belmont Stakes, the best Beyer Speed Figure in any Triple Crown race since these ratings were first published in 1987. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! Those who live and die by the speed figures may give Early Voting a chance to upset Epicenter andSkippylongstockinga shot to hit the board, but neither runner has any previous figure that is strong enough to lean on. If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. When that venture folded, Daily Racing Form incorporated the Figures into its past performances beginning in April, 1992. You can throw out superlative after superlative. The Beyer numbers trace their roots back to the work of Ray Taulbot's parallel-time chart (1959), with Beyer pointing out the flaw of adding a fixed amount of time to slow or fast times at other distances, driving the numbers out of proportion. Below well explore Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed Figure ratings. Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. Combining BSFs with other metrics like Brisnet Speed Figures and final furlong times gives us a more complete picture of this field. The bottom of the crop is equivalent in both years, with the lowest top-BSF at 83. Through 02/26/2023. . .tableizer-table td { The figures are generally less reliable in turf races, which often have a slow early pace resulting in slow final times that do not reflect the horse's true speed. Triple Crown Winners from Sir Barton to Justify, Black History Month: Shining a Spotlight on Notable African American Jockeys, Preakness Quick Sheet: Get to Know the 2021 Preakness Horses, Get to Know All 13 U.S. On 2016's Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. Medina Spirit posted a 101 Brisnet Speed Rating in last year's Kentucky Derby. The best horses in the U.S. generally earn Beyer Speed Figures between 105 and 115. The class was developed for the Western Region of British Railways, which had opted for lightweight locomotives with hydraulic transmission, when allocated . Obviously the racing surface at Tampa Bay Downs that day was playing slightly faster. . Zozos joins Epicenter, Early Voting, Pioneer of Medina and Zandon as the only horses in the field whose speed figures have gone up each time they have run in each of the three categories. Horseplayers without the Beyers would assume Destin was the quicker horse by about a length. Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. For losing horses, points are deducted according the lengths behind the winner and the distance of the race.Beyer Speed Figures are interchangeable from track to track. Early Voting's previous high was only a 91. Donaldson's Consistent Handicapping Profits (1936), which was cited by Jerry Brown as the method on which the Ragozin and Brown "sheet" figures are based. Considering that he is by Tapit and, therefore, should do his best running at longer distances and that Sadler-trained horses usually don't reach their peak until turning four, or even five, could Flightline actually get better? Jessica Morgan / Eclipse Sportswire. Taiba won as much the best, again earning a Beyer figure north of 100. The first published work on creating speed-figures was E.W. In last year's Kentucky Derby, Medina Spirit posted a 102 Beyer Speed Figure when crossing the wire first. Also note that this year's Wood Memorial (G2) and Santa Anita Derby (G1) came back the strongest of the prep races, based on Brisnet Speed Ratings. There is so much to look forward to out there.. 2022 Preakness Stakes morning-line odds, picks: Racing insider offers betting strategy for second leg of Triple Crown One week after hitting the Pick 4 at Belmont Park for $1,851, Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir just revealed his picks and bets for the Preakness Stakes on Saturday at Pimlico Race Course If their calculations would produce a figure that defies logic (due to a timing error, or a sudden change in the condition of the track, for example) they will assign the race a figure that reflects the true ability of horses in the field. Stat to remember: Since the Beyer Speed Figures were introduced in . In horse racing, power ratings are generally called class ratings. This should be taken with a gain of salt, however, because Epicenter has shown the most consistency. Note that unlike with Brisnet and Beyer, TimeformUS also takes pace into account when formulating its figures. If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. Kentucky Derby 2022: How do the speed figures stack up. Make sure you keep an eye out in the coming weeks for any changes to the Kentucky Derby field. Your TDN download has begun. The big step that I know for sure is that we want to get him stretched out, he said. In Betting Thoroughbreds, Steve Davidowitz claimed that (in 1974), "the top-figure horse wins 35 percent of the time, at a slight loss for every $2.00 wagered." (16-1) earned a 93 Beyer . If the download does not complete, Click Here. Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to earn a figure above 100, earning a 102 Beyer in the Louisiana Derby. Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. Suite 100 The track variant considers both the historical average time at the racetrack for the distance in question, called the "par time", and the average speed for the day in particular. We've waited a long time for a horse like this and I think we have one, said Terry Finley, who heads the West Point Thoroughbreds syndicate, one part of an ownership groups that also includes Hronis Racing LLC, Siena Farm LLC, Summer Wind Equine LLC and Woodford Racing, LLC. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. Win.Use Promo Code: PLAYBONUS250PLAY NOW. font-weight: bold; [citation needed]. Beyer's subsequent books, "My $50,000 Year at the Races" (1978), "The Winning Horseplayer" (1983), and "Beyer on Speed" (1993) continued to raise racing fans' awareness of the importance of speed figures. )[3] In 2004, Ghostzapper earned the highest Beyer Speed Figure for the year at 128 while winning the Philip H. Iselin Stakes. For example, a horse who earns three consecutive figures of 102, and defeats a horse with three consecutive figures of 92, would indicate a projected figure of 102 for that race is accurate. However, that came after the disqualification of Maximum Security. He's a gift. } [13] In 2007 the highest Beyer Speed Figure was 124 assigned to Midnight Lute in the 7 furlong Forego Handicap at Saratoga Race Course. [1], The record for the highest Beyer Speed figure is held by Groovy, the 1987 American Champion Sprint Horse who earned 133 and 132 in back-to-back races,[2] in the Roseben and True North Handicaps at six furlongs in 1987. The average winning Beyer Speed Figure in the Kentucky Derby is 109. Follow TheLines on Twitter for complete 2022 Kentucky Derby coverage. [22] However, Beyer also acknowledged that by some calculations, Count Fleet's Beyer speed figures might have reached 150. Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby.But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. . He said the best input you can have is to make sure you don't have any input. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. Prior to the Malibu, Flightline and Baby Yoda (Prospective) were tied for the best number on the year, a 114. Grandam (maternal grandmother) Flying Passage, by A.P. Epicenter (+400) ran his own 102 BSF race in the Louisiana Derby (G2). Figure 1a shows the stack of the device used for the study with a scanning electron microscope . color: #FFF; Periods of rain. Epicenter is right there with a high of 120. 2022 Kentucky Derby Trail: By the Numbers. Last year, he was on fire. Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts. [Related: Kentucky Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections]. Among long shots, Zozos has the best chance to spring an upset, based on speed figures. TimeformUS also valued the Wood Memorial, with Early Voting gaining the top mark. Speed Figures: Nest's speed figures have improved dramatically in her last few starts. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? border: 1px solid #CCC; Note that Crown Pride and Summer Is Tomorrow do not have relevant Beyer Speed Figures due to running outside the United States. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. 60 Broad St. Finley said that all decisions regarding a racing schedule will be made by Sadler. Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby. This allows us the opportunity to compare how horses performed across different tracks on different days. The figure may however be adjusted if the raw numbers are unusual based on the field's previous performances. The Beyer Speed Figure specifically does not consider other variables such as the early pace or traffic problems a horse may have faced during a given race. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. Shancelot was trained by Jorge Navarro, whose years of doping horses under his care have been well documented. He made a breakthrough in the early 1970s when he began to experiment with speed figures, and was confident enough in his methodology to write a book, Picking Winners, in 1975. It was one point better than the 110 Beyer Speed Figure Life Is Good earned for winning the $3 million Pegasus World Cup in January to rate as the highest figure at more than a mile this year Charge It earned a 111 for winning the Dwyer Stakes at one mile on July 2. Previewing the 2022 Kentucky Derby. Why do we care? Is Epicenter as much of a standout as he seems? For winning the Arkansas Derby (G1), Cyberknife earned a Brisnet Figure three points lower than Happy Jack did while being dusted in the Santa Anita Derby. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! His Beyers have progressed from 70 to 88 to 98. Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best San Felipe Stakes Winners, Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best Fountain of Youth Stakes Winners, Triple Crown Turning Point: The Right Rider for Gallant Fox, SLIDESHOW: U.S. For example, Messier posted a 98 Beyer in his most recent race but also has a 103 on his resume, indicating a consistent high-level performer. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . Wednesday College Basketball Best Bets: Will Texas Road Slump Continue? The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. After breaking a step slowly, the 3-year-old took control early on, started to draw clear on the turn and then galloped away from his rivals without ever being asked by jockey Flavien Prat. Avg. 'TDN Rising Star' Flightline ( Tapit) is really, really, fast . His performance was given a Beyer Speed Figure of 126, which according to the Daily Racing Form, which publishes the figures, is the second-highest number since eponymous BSF creator Andrew Beyer . He has had only three 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles. Once horses have built a figure history, Beyer projects a figure based on the figures earned by the horses in the race, in place of the par, making the numbers much more accurate. Its important to look at multiple data points, especially in the case of an unusually high or low number, such as that of Morello. He's a special horse. Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. Pars for Beyer Speed Figures represent the approximate average winning figure for a given class at a given track. "Five Takeaways" From the Week Concluding March 13, 2022 By Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Analyst and Handicapper. 97. On this Wikipedia the language links are at the top of the page across from the article title. There were three Kentucky Derby horses that posted 100+ BSFs. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball. The Beyer team felt justified for putting the older horse's time in context with the pace and level of the race. With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. Some horseplayers that read Picking Sportsbooks began making their own numbers and then in 1992 The Daily Racing Form started publishing the numbers in the past performances, giving access to everyone. The figures are straightforward: the greater the number, the quicker the horse. Dale Romans gave me some good advice, he said.
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beyer speed figures 2022