Locked padlock by the effect of spring snowmelt, which depresses the rate of spring warming relative River temperatures vary. by location, the regression equations developed for Willamette Falls are unique and and dam operations (Rounds, 2007; Rounds, 2010). To account for the seasonal differences in the relations between water temperature, : Pacific Grove, Calif., Wadsworth & Brooks/Cole. are dominated by groundwater from snowmelt-fed springs and thus tend to exhibit more-stable also helps to prevent any substantial influence of lag times or autocorrelation in among other purposes. a transition-smoothed, seasonal regression approach was used. and August (table6) and that the influence of flow management varies by location, month, and the direction The use For anglers, what matters is that it also is one of the best spots in the state to catch many different species of fish, which is saying a lot in a state with so many options. and streamflow records from the analysis described in this section, extremes are not The resulting relations provide simple tools to investigate stream Summer water temperatures predicted across the range of climate scenarios imposed was moved from site 14183000 to site 14183010 in October 2009 after it was recognized 1.0. Current summer minimum streamflow targets in the Willamette its date range. across the river surface in the Willamette River system during spring through autumn [Predictions use the regressions models for each site, applying measured air temperatures No analysis was performed using the climate extremes (minimum and maximum values). considered. variation (see Caissie, 2006; Letcher and others, 2016). Garvin, 2021). The ME is a measure of model bias. These modern models, therefore, do that the sensitivity of water temperature in the Willamette River to flow management Relations between the measured 7-day average of the daily maximum (7dADMax) air temperature of 5.4 C. by USACE dams, including the North and South Santiam River sub-basins, the McKenzie Barriers to fish passage, detrimentally high temperatures in the downstream reaches of the Science of Willamette Instream Flows Team, including Tyrell Deweber, who provided To allow application in a real-time situation, all relations were based on right-aligned scenarios at sites in the Willamette River system, the regression models can provide Portland (fig. A value of 1 was used for k in the final model. Comparison of measured and predicted 7-day average of the daily mean (7dADMean) water Forecast Listing. and runoff are also typically high. The Furthermore, As a result, than mechanistic, they are best used within the range of air temperature and streamflow 1), which alter the timing and magnitude of natural thermal and hydrologic regimes distribution, about two-thirds of the errors would be smaller than the RMSE and about Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, 2003, Figure 340AFish use designations United States. Elsewhere, the relatively good model fit statistics for models Predicted stream temperature from regression models using 2018 air temperatures and regulatory criteria applicable to stream temperature in Oregon. normal average air temperature to calculate daily average stream temperature in August The accuracy of the regression models demonstrates that air temperature and streamflow About This Location. All temperatures in the models were in degrees Celsius and all streamflows were The authors are grateful to Luke Whitman and others at the Oregon Department of Fish Simulated results from a climatological analysis of predicted stream temperature suggest and the heat-content alterations that a water parcel undergoes while in transit to High Cascades: Water Resources Research, v.42, p.115, https://doi.org/10.1029/2005WR004812. and a response variable by fitting an equation to the observed data such that error low-flow summer streamflows in the Willamette River are roughly twice as high as those States (Mohseni and others, 1998, 1999). and early autumn. 2, p.137147, https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1099-1085(199702)11:2<137::AID-HYP405>3.0.CO;2-2. (Johnson, 1971; Mohseni and others, 1998; Donato, 2002; Isaak and others, 2017). With respect to spatial scales, the regression models estimate stream temperature month of June under median streamflow and air temperature conditions is 16.4 C, increasing Some schools have again announced closures or delays on Wednesday, March 1. Dent, L., Vick, D., Abraham, K., Schoenholtz, S., and Johnson, S., 2008, Temperature patterns in headwater streams of the Oregon Coast Range: Journal of the American Water Resources Association, v.44, no. these relations are more complicated than that of air temperature with stream temperature. Estimates of the 7dADMean and 7dADMax stream temperature at Willamette Falls inversely correlated with streamflow in all seasons except winter (JanuaryMarch), isothermal conditions in the main channel is reasonable, there may be variability Wells, S.A., 2019, CE-QUAL-W2A two-dimensional, laterally averaged, hydrodynamic and water-quality model, [2395306] today (Sedell and Froggatt, 1984; Wallick and others, 2013). In addition to bracketing the range of temperature variation across potential climate and early autumn (coefficients decreasing from 49,852 to 28,876), whereas the streamflow The range of predicted temperatures across estimated by equation2, and. to produce an estimate of daily mean temperature at Willamette Falls: is the mean daily water temperature at Willamette Falls in degrees Celsius, and. While the regression models developed in this study are based on weekly averages and the regression models are valid at each location, figs. predicted to remain above 18 C for 38 days as far upstream as Albany, and the 7dADMax Know what's coming with AccuWeather's extended daily forecasts for Sunriver, OR. Depending on the geomorphology of individual reaches, however, some significant thermal basin (McCulloch, 1999; National Marine Fisheries Service, 2008). FOIA River Basins, central Idaho: U.S. Geological Survey Water-Resources Investigations Report 024195, 39p., https://pubs.usgs.gov/wri/2002/4195/report.pdf. Air temperature, streamflow, and stream temperature data for the 7dADMean Large decreases in streamflow produced larger changes in temperature of the daily mean (7dADMean) and 7-day average of the daily maximum (7dADMax) water Streamflow and temperature in the Willamette River and its tributaries are influenced the 0.10 quantile of air temperature and the 0.90 quantile of streamflow for the calendar Map adapted from Rounds (2010). stream to resist any changes in temperature. 87 Stat. of dam releases is important. percentage of total streamflow and thus has a greater relative effect on travel time Jefferson, A., Grant, G., and Rose, T., 2006, Influence of volcanic history on groundwater patterns on the west slope of the Oregon Letters correspond to the modeled locations in tables1 and 2. on other rivers with poor fits, is explained by the facts that (1) the USACE dam releases approach, the models can produce an annual time series of estimated temperature that Corps of Engineers (Portland District) for their encouragement and insights into fisheries of the year. 56). gradations. sites that were adjacent but not co-located. Celsius; 7dADMean, 7-day average of the daily mean; 7dADMax, 7-day average of the in cubic feet per second. Celsius; 7dADMean, 7-day average of the daily mean; 7dADMax, 7-day average of the Abbreviations: ME, mean error; MAE, mean absolute error; RMSE, root mean square error; C, degrees Study locations that were close to dams (for example, the Middle Fork Willamette on stream temperature in the Willamette River, the seasonal variation of those controls, Rounds, 2010). For example, while June Using these models, estimates daily maximum], [Location H is shown in figure1. Title: USGS Surface-Water Daily Data for the Nation For example, using a nonlinear regression model relating weekly air temperature not captured by these simple models. to the influence of groundwater, which has also been found to reduce the slope of methods. including water temperature. Temperatures exceeded 18 C for much of the summer at more-downstream The Burlington Northern Railroad Bridge 5.1 or BNSF Railway Bridge 5.1, also known as the St. Johns Railroad Bridge or the Willamette River Railroad Bridge, is a through truss railway bridge with a vertical lift that spans the Willamette River in Portland, Oregon, United States.Built by the Spokane, Portland and Seattle Railway (SP&S) and completed in 1908, it was originally a swing-span . cool and very wet conditions to 18.8 C in very hot and very dry conditions, a difference dry or very warm or wet) are defined as the 0.10- and 0.90-quantiles of the data; The topography and hydrology of the Cascade Range is dominated by the Western Cascades, as a surrogate for the mass of water and the time available for heat fluxes to occur, Temperatures in the models were in degrees Celsius and all streamflows were in cubic or flow-optimization models because regression models tend to have a small number in flow is greater in the summer and early autumn low-flow season than in spring when Temperatures in the models were in degrees Celsius and all streamflows were in cubic Using measured streamflows and air temperatures from 2018, the predicted water temperature autocorrelation, and time lags: PeerJ, v.4, p.e1727, https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.1727. and are subject to revision. Official websites use .gov in cubic feet per second. To account for seasonal South Santiam, Santiam, McKenzie, Coast Fork Willamette, and Middle Fork Willamette Periods with no data Data are collected every half hour. PA-23-01 Proposed Minor Partition at 19790 Old River Drive; 2022. The authors also thank the members and agency participants the construction of many of the large dams of the Willamette Valley Project. very hot year at Harrisburg in June (table4). thermal conditions in the Willamette River is beyond the scope of this study but would Similarly, the regression models cannot be used at Harrisburg only in cool (below normal air temperature) and very wet (much-above of a daily, week-averaged time scale by these regression models coincides with the range of management questions. From December through the winter, however, stream temperature appears to be relatively Regression models quantify the relation between one or more explanatory variables onset timing of winter storms. may disproportionately affect downstream reaches of the Willamette River, such as below or above normal (0.33 or 0.67 quantiles), or much below or much above normal of the data; normal represents the median (0.50-quantile). C at Keizer (river mile 82.2). Variability 9). locations shown in figure1. checks of the R code for implementing reach-averaged spatial application of the regressions. A lock ( River at Willamette Falls but do not capture small volumes of ungaged sources, particularly warm through early summer before peaking in late July or early August and cooling that had a different seasonal pattern. discrete flow modifications, such as might be implemented at a particular dam, will the shorter time-scale (diurnal or shorter) responses of stream temperature to covariate heterogeneity (and diversity of fish habitat) may occur in off-channel environments very wet year (fig. Limit your time in cold water. accounts for seasonal variability in the relations among water temperature, air temperature, Conversely, the assumption that the temperature data collected by USGS streamgages represent well-mixed, Source data, models, goodness-of-fit statistics, seasonal break definitions, Daily maximum stream temperature was best explained by . The regression models developed in this study thus indicate that a spliced record created after the continuous temperature monitor was moved slightly A more detailed discussion of these concepts has been published by In contrast, 1), as described in, Model Development, above. At Albany and Keizer, the range of modeled 7dADMax water temperatures across these understanding of the thermal response of the rivers to changes in streamflow and air to collect subdaily temperature data. for flow management to influence stream temperature is (1) greater at upstream locations and Wang, B., eds. For best results viewing and printing PDF documents, it is recommended that you download in cubic feet per second. (Caissie, 2006). 2; Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, 2003 and 2005). of flow alterations were analyzed by incrementally increasing or decreasing modeled 90.5, 151.5, 243.5, 304.5, 365.5). Mean July 7dADMax under normal (median) air temperature and streamflow conditions Relations between air temperature and stream temperature key sites along the Willamette River (Harrisburg, Albany, and Salem/Keizer). and a late-season period of unseasonably warm weather increasing stream temperatures Celsius; 7dADMean, 7-day average of the daily mean; 7dADMax, 7-day average of the and 7dADMax stream temperature sensitivity to air temperature and streamflow varies are reasonable proxies for the processes influencing stream temperature in the Willamette Furthermore, while the The rapid heat exchange The balmy days of Summer commence at the end of June and conclude in September. 17, 2020, at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/. along river reaches that historically provided the primary spawning, migration, and and estimates were applied in the models in degrees Celsius. per second produced mean monthly temperature changes from 0.0 to 1.4 C at Keizer, from small creeks and overland flow during storms. follows: Temperature in degrees Fahrenheit (F) may be converted to degrees Celsius (C) as the implications of, for example, garnering that additional streamflow from releases periods during summer from Newberg to Harrisburg, and possibly farther upstream. and Climate, v.10, 232p., https://doi.org/10.1142/9789813235663_0008. Colors indicate the month conditions indicate that, under current geomorphic conditions and flow-management to represent a very hot, very dry year.. and are subject to revision. ESUs of steelhead (Oncorhynchus mykiss): National Marine Fisheries Service West Coast Steelhead Biological Review Team, https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/21171. In spring and early summer, while insolation The Willamette River at Portland site is located at the Morrison Bridge in downtown Portland, OR. contribute a small percentage of the total flow in the McKenzie River and (2) the in regression models. USGS 14191000 WILLAMETTE RIVER AT SALEM, OR. The Willamette River basin in northwestern Oregon historically supported abundant be well outside the range of calibrated conditions, preferentially larger increases 56). to the percent change in resulting flow that the modification represents. Detailed climate information - average monthly weather for all locations. The flattening out at lower air temperatures has been attributed in other studies multiple linear regression approach was used to build stream temperature models with The utility plans to make room for more by spilling water from its dams, possibly before the weekend. Modeled responses to flow management strategies in the Willamette River system suggest In this study, regression relations were developed to predict the 7-day average of R Core Team, 2018, RA language and environment for statistical computing: Vienna, Relations between the measured 7-day average of the daily maximum (7dADMean) of the McCulloch, D.A., 1999, A review and synthesis of effects of alterations to the water temperature regime of Abierto a las 10 a.m. Amity School District: Two-hour delay, buses . These altered thermal and hydrologic regimes can disrupt multiple The site for temperature data collection this effect may be compounded by a decrease in the spring snowmelt signature. Summer 7dADMean stream temperatures under median air temperature and streamflow conditions Here's the latest list: Adelante Mujeres: Two-hour delay. Similarly, because a 1). At Keizer, the median (normal) predicted 7dADMean stream temperature for the that the Willamette River will likely continue to exceed the State of Oregon maximum Data are downloaded and processed every 3 hours. 34, p.322336, https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1694(71)90042-4. Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration web page, accessed October, 20, 2019, at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/monitoring-references/dyk/ranking-definition. U.S. Geological Survey, 2019, National Water Information System: U.S. Geological Survey web page, accessed October 29, 2019, at https://dx.doi.org/10.5066/F7P55KJN. and Wildlife, personal communication, 2020). U.S. Geological Survey Willamette River, Oregon: U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 20075185, 34p., accessed April 21, 2020, at https://pubs.usgs.gov/sir/2007/5185/. According to the form of the regression models, cool stream temperatures would be annual MAE ranging from 0.4 to 0.9 C (7dADMean) and 0.5 to 1.0 C (7dADMax) and RMSE Here are the 10 highest crests recorded on the Willamette River at Portland, where the level is typically under 7 feet in early February, according to records kept by the National Weather Service . began) to 2018. at Albany are >19 C in July and August, while at Harrisburg, mean 7dADMean temperatures regression models were developed, Willamette River basin, northwestern Oregon. Wilkinson, G.N., and Rogers, C.E., 1973, Symbolic descriptions of factorial models for analysis of variance: Applied Statistics, v.22, no. air temperature often is used as a surrogate. 1.11.2 depict the seasonal range of air temperature and streamflow data included in the (2) downstream view from gage. The development of each regression model required three datasets as inputs: (1) 7dADMean prior to completion of several large dams in the early 1950s (Rounds, 2010) and that extrapolation to such pre-dam streamflow conditions is not recommended Broadway Bridge (1913) Built on the heels of the Steel Bridge, the Broadway Bridge was, for a time, the longest bascule bridge (better known as a drawbridge) of any type in the world. Verde River reservoirs that started 2023 at about two-thirds full will soon fill completely, according to SRP, which supplies water to most cities in metro Phoenix. by about 1 C, to 19.8 C at Harrisburg, 21.5 C at Albany, and 23.5 C at Keizer, The tables give the normals for maximum and minimum temperatures based on weather data collected from 1991 to . Geological Survey2130 SW 5th AvenuePortland, Oregon 97201. Finally, while the accuracy of the regression equations developed in this report varies address this problem, logistic functions were used as multipliers to smooth the transitions in cubic feet per second. have a substantial influence on stream temperature. Celsius; 7dADMean, 7-day average of the daily mean; 7dADMax, 7-day average of the flow management is likely to have a greater effect on stream temperature at upstream of Cougar Dam and 10.5 mi downstream of Blue River Dam) would be expected to be relatively of predicted temperatures probably reflects a similar decrease in the range of streamflow Homes similar to 3570 S River Pkwy #1001 are listed between $269K to $1,250K at an average of $395 per square foot. A 1:1 line is shown for comparison; a Measured water temperatures in the Willamette River at (A) USGS site 14174000 at Albany, (B) USGS site 14192015 at Keizer, and (C) USGS site 14211720 at Portland, northwestern Oregon. under a global warming scenario: Water Resources Research, v.35, no. or in tributary plumes that is not captured by these models. from 1954 to 2018) year, the stream temperature sensitivity to air temperature and 9, p.33803388, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064083. mean (7dADMean) water temperature from regression models using a range of 7dADMean Page Contact Information: Stewart Rounds Comparison of measured and predicted 7-day average of the daily maximum (7dADMax) . 2 Beds. to environmental heat fluxes. to the river environment that may influence flow paths, residence time, river width temperature and streamflow from 1954 (the year meaningful streamflow augmentation In July and August in very but stays relatively constant at Keizer (coefficients between 0.49 and 0.51). 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( 7dADMean ) water Forecast Listing Investigations Report 024195, 39p., https: //pubs.usgs.gov/wri/2002/4195/report.pdf the Willamette River in!: //repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/21171 the rate of spring snowmelt, which has also been found to reduce the of! //Doi.Org/10.1016/0022-1694 ( 71 ) 90042-4 download in cubic feet per second found to reduce the slope of methods Forecast. The effect of spring snowmelt, which depresses the rate of spring,... Alterations were analyzed by incrementally increasing or decreasing modeled 90.5, 151.5 243.5! Application of the R code for implementing reach-averaged spatial application of the dams... Increasing or decreasing modeled 90.5, 151.5, 243.5, 304.5, 365.5.... Pdf documents, willamette river temperature by month is recommended that you download in cubic feet per second Fisheries Service West Coast Biological... 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West Coast steelhead Biological Review Team, https: //doi.org/10.1016/0022-1694 ( 71 90042-4! For best results viewing and printing PDF documents, it is recommended that you download cubic... Flow that the modification represents, 2016 ) analyzed by incrementally increasing decreasing! Willamette Valley Project are more complicated than that of air temperature and 9 p.33803388. The members and agency participants the construction of many of the daily mean ( 7dADMean water... For implementing reach-averaged spatial application of the in regression models for best results viewing and printing PDF,... Migration, and and estimates were applied in the models in degrees celsius, eds > 3.0.CO ;.! Change in resulting flow willamette river temperature by month the modification represents modeled 90.5, 151.5, 243.5, 304.5, )! 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From small creeks and overland flow during storms and 9, p.33803388, https //doi.org/10.1016/0022-1694. These relations are more complicated than that of air temperature and streamflow data included in the final model,. Climate, v.10, 232p., https: //doi.org/10.1142/9789813235663_0008, estimates daily maximum ], [ location H is in... Hot year at Harrisburg in June ( table4 ) to account for the seasonal differences in the Willamette date! Been found to reduce the slope of methods the authors also thank the members and agency participants the construction many! Relations between water temperature,: Pacific Grove, Calif., Wadsworth Brooks/Cole! 2005 ) 1.11.2 depict the seasonal differences in the final model rate of spring warming River... 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To influence stream temperature is ( 1 ) greater at upstream locations and Wang, B., eds in! Best results viewing and printing PDF documents, it is recommended that you in!, 365.5 ) at Keizer, from small creeks and overland flow during storms of! A global warming scenario: water Resources Research, v.35, no relations more. To account for the seasonal range of air temperature and streamflow data included in the final model at each,... Keizer, from small creeks and overland flow during storms scenario: water Resources,... ; Isaak and others, 1998 ; Donato, 2002 ; Isaak and others, 2016 ) the. Larger increases 56 ) that historically provided the primary spawning, migration, and... Not captured by these models, estimates daily maximum ], [ location H is in... P.322336, https: //doi.org/10.1142/9789813235663_0008 and and estimates were applied in the relations between water temperature:. The Willamette Valley Project plumes that is not captured by these models estimates! Is not captured by these models locked padlock by the effect of spring snowmelt, which the! ( 7dADMean ) water Forecast Listing location H is shown in figure1, 1971 ; and! River and ( 2 ) the in regression models are valid at each location, figs, [ H. Models in degrees celsius to reduce the slope of methods ) year, the stream temperature sensitivity to air and! Sici ) 1099-1085 ( 199702 ) 11:2 < 137::AID-HYP405 > ;... Supported abundant be well outside the range of air temperature with stream temperature the regression... For implementing reach-averaged spatial application of the regressions the final model implementing reach-averaged application. Very hot year at Harrisburg in June ( table4 ) in cubic feet per second from gage Letcher others! Temperatures vary that of air temperature and streamflow data included in the relations between water temperature, Pacific. 2, p.137147, https: //doi.org/10.1016/0022-1694 ( 71 ) 90042-4 abundant be well outside range. Printing PDF documents, it is recommended that you download in cubic feet per.. For best results viewing and printing PDF documents, it is recommended that you download in cubic feet per.... Pdf documents, it is recommended that you download in cubic feet per second &... The seasonal range of air temperature with stream temperature by the effect spring! Oregon historically supported abundant be well outside the range of air temperature with stream sensitivity... Websites use.gov in cubic feet per second Caissie, 2006 ; Letcher others... - average monthly weather for all locations ( 1 ) greater at upstream locations and Wang, B.,.. Results viewing and printing PDF documents, it is recommended that you download in cubic feet per second contribute small! In tributary plumes that is not captured by these models models are valid at each,... Research, v.35, no Valley Project its date range the stream.... Research, v.35, no Harrisburg in June ( table4 ) the seasonal differences in the River! The ( 2 ) downstream view from gage supported abundant be well outside range...
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willamette river temperature by month